Glossary · Finance & planning

Run rate

A projection of annual performance based on recent results, such as multiplying the latest month's revenue by twelve.

A run rate extrapolates current performance over a longer period. If a business earned $50,000 in revenue last month, its annual revenue run rate is $600,000. Run rates are quick and easy to understand, which makes them common in forecasting and in conversations with investors or lenders.

They are also easy to misuse. Seasonal businesses, one-off contracts, and recent price changes can make a single period unrepresentative. Run-rate drivers work best for stable lines, and should be combined with explicit growth or seasonal assumptions elsewhere.

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